‘Commodities’ Archive

Is Deflation about to pick up speed or has it run its course? Will the yield on the 10-year note break 20-year support?

  Deflation…simply means falling prices.  The 4-pack below reflects that the bond market believes that  ”Deflation/Falling Prices” is the key theme as the leading commodity index’s is breaking below last summers lows.   CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The Power of the Pattern reflected that the Deflation theme setup first took place last June (see set up here) as [...]

How much more can Gold and Silver lose before hitting channel support?

The Power of the Pattern has reflected that the Commodities complex created a pattern that suggests lower prices, as far back as a year ago (see post here)   Gold and Silver hits highs in the summer of 2011 and have since created a series of lower highs, inside of a falling channels highlighted below. [...]

Commodity price DE-flation continues to take place -

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE Even though Commodity prices at the store continue to move higher, the two leading Commodity Index’s continue to create a series of lower highs since their peaks in May of 2011.  In the past when the CRX and CRB broke support and headed lower,  more often than not they were [...]

Market sending “Confusing Signs?” Maybe not…

Inflation or Deflation?  Growth or Recession? Europe’s worst challenges behind them or not? Washington going to make tough decisions or keep kicking them down the road? Worst Thanksgiving week since the depression then, a 250+ rally in the Dow on Monday.  What does good black Friday sales mean to the overall markets? Markets/News sending any “Confusing [...]

What does a “Commodity Crash/Wreck” look like? Could the pattern happen again?

Shared the chart below with members 3 days ago and on dshort (see post here).  How does one define a Crash/Wreck?  Does a 50% decline in 5 months qualify?    Close enough in my book! Certain patterns took place in 2007/2008 that led to a “Commodity Crash/Wreck” as the CRX Commodity index declined over 50% from May 2008 [...]