‘Yields’ Archive

Is Deflation about to pick up speed or has it run its course? Will the yield on the 10-year note break 20-year support?

  Deflation…simply means falling prices.  The 4-pack below reflects that the bond market believes that  ”Deflation/Falling Prices” is the key theme as the leading commodity index’s is breaking below last summers lows.   CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The Power of the Pattern reflected that the Deflation theme setup first took place last June (see set up here) as [...]

Is the death of the Government bond rally, really at hand?

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The past 90 days hasn’t been favorable to the price of longer dated Government bonds and notes, as the popular Govt. bond ETF (TLT) is down over 10% since Christmas.  Many an article has been written that the bull market in government bonds is at hand. For the decline in [...]

What would you do update…Quiz Tool is suggesting higher stock prices are to come?

Below was a quiz posted on 2/3, which reflected that when a certain tool was at a low, it often suggested stocks would rally in the near future (See 2/3 post here)  CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The tool was TNX, the yield on the 10-year note.  Below is an update to the above chart, [...]

Is the decline in Bond prices/rally in yields reflecting growth in the economy?

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE An across the board breaking of support is taking place in a wide variety of bonds in the 6-pack above.  Could this decline in price/rally in yield actually be a sign that growth in the economy is starting to take place?  Mark Twain once wrote “the report of my death [...]

17-year yield falling channel suggesting another stock market opportunity?

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The yield on the 30-year bond has remained inside of falling channel (A) for the majority of the past 17 years!  It has been a great trade the range play, buy bonds when yields hit the top of the channel/bonds are at lows and the opposite is true as well….sell bonds [...]